Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v New York Mets

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 8–2 New York Mets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 62.79%1.59fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.40%62.74%62.93%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.511.511.5768.03%66.08%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 37.21%2.69fair odd
EV +0.466%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.274%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%37.26%37.07%38.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.602.7040.82%38.71%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 62.79%; New York Mets (Visit): 37.21%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.466%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.466%E +0.173%K +0.274%G +0.001%3.7%2026-04-15 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.68%E -1.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.650%E -0.243%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.39%E -0.526%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.68%E -1.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.77%E -0.669%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 02:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.68%E -1.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.77%E -0.669%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 02:10
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.68%E -1.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.51%E -0.958%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-16 02:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.42%E -0.904%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.88%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:09
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 01:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 01:58
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.19%E -3.43%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.19%E -3.43%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 02:07
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 22:04
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.63%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.00%E -1.55%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 01:59
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.05%E -1.31%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.37%E -1.70%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 01:48
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.19%E -3.43%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.37%E -1.70%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.19%E -3.43%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.37%E -1.70%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.19%E -3.43%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.74%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 02:08
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:04
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.43%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 01:59
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 01:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 01:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 01:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 01:24
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.49%E -2.16%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:59
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.05%E -1.31%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.23%E -2.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 01:54
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.30%E -2.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.81%E -3.88%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 23:44
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.19%E -3.43%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.72%E -3.11%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.30%E -2.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 02:09
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.93%E -2.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.56%E -3.00%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.07%E -4.78%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 63.64%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.36%0.7%2026-04-16 02:09
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-04-16 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-04-16 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-04-16 02:10
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-16 01:29
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-16 01:59
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-16 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-16 02:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-04-16 02:09
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 72.14%2.59I 38.61%NM 27.86%38.6%2026-04-16 02:09