The School of Odds
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Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 00:08 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–6 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 58.29%1.72fair odd
EV -0.316%
Edge -0.185%
Kelly -0.445%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%58.35%58.23%60.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.631.641.7166.23%61.45%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV +0.509%
Edge +0.211%
Kelly +0.361%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%41.65%41.77%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.292.302.4150.00%43.71%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 58.29%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 41.71%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.509%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV +0.509%E +0.211%K +0.361%G +0.002%5.2%2026-10-16 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.092%E +0.038%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 00:05
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.742%E -0.312%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-16 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.16%E -0.489%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-16 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.58%E -0.668%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-15 23:24
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.58%E -0.668%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-16 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.06%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.99%E -0.848%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-16 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.99%E -0.848%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-15 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.98%E -3.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.99%E -0.848%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 06:00
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.98%E -3.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.99%E -0.848%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -1.99%E -0.848%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -1.99%E -0.848%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-15 23:00
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.48%E -0.877%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.83%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-15 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.83%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-15 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 14:18
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 14:19
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 09:10
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 23:14
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 04:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.81%E -7.06%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-16 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 12:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -0.316%E -0.185%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-16 00:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-15 23:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-15 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.33%E -2.35%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.33%E -2.35%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 22:52
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.98%E -3.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.35%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.98%E -3.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.35%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.06%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-16 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 14:19
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 12:29
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 12:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 22:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 21:34
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 23:48
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 23:48
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.81%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.08%E -4.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 00:04
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.98%E -3.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.50%E -4.38%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-16 00:05
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.48%E -0.877%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 00:04
picklebet_au🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 00:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.82%EV -11.39%E -7.49%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.18%EV -16.59%E -8.29%K -16.59%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-16 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.98%EV -11.97%E -7.93%K -23.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -16.59%E -8.29%K -16.59%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-15 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-10-16 00:05
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-10-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-10-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-10-16 00:05
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-10-15 23:55
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-10-16 00:00
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-10-16 00:05
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-10-15 23:50
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-10-16 00:05
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-10-15 23:45