默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals

开赛时间: 2026-08-12 02:11 UTC

最终结果: Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Kansas City Royals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers (主队)

预测 70.46%1.42公平赔率
EV -1.35%
优势 -0.965%
Kelly -3.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
68.18%70.44%70.51%71.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.351.351.4077.52%73.98%74.07%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kansas City Royals (客队)

预测 29.54%3.39公平赔率
EV +3.38%
优势 +0.965%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.046%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
28.28%29.56%29.49%31.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.253.263.5033.33%30.76%30.67%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Los Angeles Dodgers (主队):70.46%;Kansas City Royals (客队):29.54%。 对于“Kansas City Royals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.39。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.50,对应+3.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%EV +3.38%E +0.965%K +1.35%G +0.046%1.0%2026-08-11 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV +1.61%E +0.467%K +0.658%G +0.011%2.6%2026-08-12 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV +1.61%E +0.467%K +0.658%G +0.011%2.6%2026-08-12 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.424%E +0.125%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-12 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.424%E +0.125%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-12 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.424%E +0.125%K +0.177%G +0.001%3.5%2026-08-12 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:00
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 02:04
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:05
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:04
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -1.35%E -0.404%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 02:10
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -1.35%E -0.404%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-12 02:10
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 01:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 00:40
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 01:59
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 01:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.99%E -5.29%K -21.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.99%E -5.29%K -21.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 00:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.99%E -5.29%K -21.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 02:04
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.35%E -0.965%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -2.83%E -0.859%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-11 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 18:45
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:55
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 18:24
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:49
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.46%E -2.53%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 02:04
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 02:09
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 02:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:08
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -9.10%E -7.06%K -31.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.26%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:30
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.26%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 02:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 23:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.91%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.35%E -0.965%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 02:09
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.35%E -0.965%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 02:09
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 02:09
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 01:58
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-12 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-12 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-12 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-12 02:10
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-11 20:10
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-11 18:00
BetOpenly◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.60%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.40%1.2%2026-08-12 02:09
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-12 02:10
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-08-12 02:10
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-12 02:10