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Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)
Predicción 70.46%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.965%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.44%70.51%71.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.351.4077.52%73.98%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kansas City Royals (Visitante)
Predicción 29.54%3.39momio equitativo
EV +3.38%
Ventaja +0.965%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.28%29.56%29.49%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.263.5033.33%30.76%30.67%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.46%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 29.54%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.39. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.38%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%EV +3.38%E +0.965%K +1.35%G +0.046% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV +1.61%E +0.467%K +0.658%G +0.011% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV +1.61%E +0.467%K +0.658%G +0.011% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.424%E +0.125%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.424%E +0.125%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.424%E +0.125%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 02:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -1.35%E -0.404%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -1.35%E -0.404%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 00:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.99%E -5.29%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.99%E -5.29%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 00:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.99%E -5.29%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 02:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.35%E -0.965%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -2.83%E -0.859%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-11 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.58%E -4.16%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 18:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.76%E -2.00%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.46%E -2.53%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 02:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 02:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 02:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -9.10%E -7.06%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.26%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -7.26%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 02:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.87%E -3.61%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.91%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.35%E -0.965%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.35%E -0.965%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.17%E -3.07%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.28%E -4.72%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 01:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.60% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.40% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 02:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 02:10 |