The School of Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–4 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 72.96%1.37fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -6.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%72.93%73.07%75.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.291.3481.97%77.17%77.52%74.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV +0.034%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.012%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%27.07%26.93%30.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.48%28.57%27.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.034%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 00:15
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -10.98%E -9.00%K -49.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV +0.034%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-08 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%EV -0.237%E -0.064%K -0.088%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 02:10
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%EV -0.237%E -0.064%K -0.088%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -1.32%E -0.361%K -0.497%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 02:05
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -2.23%E -1.66%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV -1.59%E -0.436%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 00:44
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.588%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 02:00
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-08 02:10
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 00:15
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 00:15
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:10
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:10
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.34%E -5.78%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 02:10
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 00:50
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 00:55
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 01:40
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 23:45
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.44%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.56%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 02:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.83%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:45
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 01:55
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 00:10
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:00
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 01:40
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 02:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 02:10
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 01:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.80%E -7.04%K -35.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 02:10
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.80%E -7.04%K -35.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 02:10
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.80%E -7.04%K -35.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 02:10
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.21%EV -7.34%E -5.78%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.79%EV -6.18%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:50
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:40
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 02:10
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 02:10
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 02:10
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 02:10
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.71%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.29%EV -7.81%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 02:10
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 01:55
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 00:50
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 23:44
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 02:10
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 02:10
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.07%E -6.40%K -31.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-08 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 01:43
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 73.99%3.84I 26.04%NM 26.01%0.1%2026-07-08 02:09
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-07-08 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-07-08 02:05
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.95%3.98I 25.13%NM 25.05%0.3%2026-07-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-07-08 02:10
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-08 02:10
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-07-08 02:10
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-07-08 02:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%9.7%2026-07-08 02:10