The School of Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–3 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 69.72%1.43fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%69.68%69.82%71.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.39%73.53%71.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.521%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%30.32%30.18%31.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.183.193.3634.48%31.48%31.35%29.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV +1.75%E +0.521%K +0.741%G +0.013%2.2%2026-07-09 01:50
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV +1.75%E +0.521%K +0.741%G +0.013%2.2%2026-07-09 01:50
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.45%E +0.432%K +0.616%G +0.009%3.4%2026-07-09 00:55
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.45%E +0.432%K +0.616%G +0.009%5.0%2026-07-09 02:09
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.841%E +0.253%K +0.361%G +0.003%2.5%2026-07-09 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 00:55
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 00:55
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 00:55
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 00:55
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 00:55
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 00:54
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:05
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -2.40%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -0.370%E -0.112%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-08 23:35
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 01:50
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 02:05
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 00:55
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 00:55
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 00:55
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.49%E -0.773%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-09 01:45
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.49%E -0.773%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 01:54
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 23:24
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:09
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 23:20
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:55
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 00:20
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.97%E -6.04%K -24.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.10%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 01:40
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:45
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -4.49%E -3.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:09
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -4.31%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 02:09
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 02:10
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 00:15
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:45
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:33
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:45
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -2.40%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -5.52%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-09 01:09
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.40%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 00:55
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.40%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 00:10
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.09%E -2.23%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 00:54
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.09%E -2.23%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 00:15
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 01:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 20:05
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.49%E -3.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.64%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 02:10
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.94%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:15
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.94%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.40%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.40%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.49%E -3.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 02:00
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 02:09
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 02:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 01:44
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-09 01:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-09 01:55
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-08 23:55
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-09 02:05
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-09 02:10
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 71.49%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.51%1.4%2026-07-09 02:09
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-07-09 02:05
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%4.8%2026-07-09 02:10