L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 20:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 1–12 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 67.14%1.49cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -4.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%67.10%67.06%68.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.421.421.4672.46%70.43%70.42%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.86%3.04cote équitable
EV +0.563%
Avantage +0.184%
Kelly +0.273%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.77%32.90%32.94%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.903.0637.04%34.31%34.48%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 68.00%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.00%EV +0.563%E +0.184%K +0.273%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-21 19:50
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.235%E +0.077%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-21 13:50
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-21 13:50
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -1.98%E -1.36%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-21 18:09
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:09
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:09
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:09
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 13:49
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-21 13:50
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 19:40
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 20:09
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 19:59
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 20:00
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -3.38%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-21 13:49
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -3.38%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 19:29
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.71%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -4.37%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 18:09
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-21 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 20:10
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 14:29
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:10
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 16:49
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 12:09
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 14:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:09
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 12:09
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 14:29
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 20:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.02%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 14:39
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:49
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 20:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:09
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:10
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.67%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:20
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.67%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 19:39
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:59
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 20:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 17:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 07:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 19:47
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.46I 68.49%NM 68.47%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.53%0.0%2026-06-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-21 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-21 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-21 20:10
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.0%2026-06-21 20:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-06-21 18:30
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-21 19:10
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-06-21 19:40
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-06-21 20:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-06-21 20:10