La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-06-21 20:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 1–12 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 67.14%1.49momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -4.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.10%67.06%68.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.421.421.4672.46%70.43%70.42%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 32.86%3.04momio equitativo
EV +0.563%
Ventaja +0.184%
Kelly +0.273%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.77%32.90%32.94%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.903.0637.04%34.31%34.48%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 68.00%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.00%EV +0.563%E +0.184%K +0.273%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-21 19:50
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.235%E +0.077%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-21 13:50
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-21 13:50
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -1.98%E -1.36%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-21 18:09
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:10
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:09
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:09
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:09
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 13:49
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-21 13:50
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 19:40
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 20:09
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 19:59
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 20:00
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -3.38%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-21 13:49
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -3.38%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 19:29
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.71%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -4.37%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 18:09
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-21 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 20:10
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 14:29
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:10
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 16:49
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 12:09
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 14:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:09
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 12:09
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 14:29
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 20:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.02%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 14:39
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:49
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 20:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:09
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:10
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.67%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:20
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.00%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.67%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 19:39
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:59
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 20:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 17:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.32%E -2.31%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 07:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 19:47
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.46I 68.49%NM 68.47%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.53%0.0%2026-06-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-21 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-21 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-21 20:10
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.0%2026-06-21 20:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-06-21 18:30
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-21 19:10
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-06-21 19:40
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-06-21 20:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-06-21 20:10