L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-20 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 6–5 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 65.36%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.870%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.70%65.27%65.38%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.471.5171.43%68.32%68.03%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.64%2.89cote équitable
EV +0.470%
Avantage +0.162%
Kelly +0.248%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%34.73%34.62%36.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.732.752.9038.46%36.60%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-20 02:09
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-20 02:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%4.4%2026-06-20 01:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-19 14:00
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -0.569%E -0.198%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-20 02:09
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.26%E -0.443%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-20 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.26%E -0.443%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 02:09
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.26%E -0.443%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 01:19
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.61%E -0.566%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-20 02:09
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -1.97%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -1.95%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-20 02:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.65%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-20 00:18
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.65%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 02:08
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 02:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 02:09
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 01:59
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -3.69%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 02:09
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.69%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 01:49
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-19 13:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 02:09
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 01:39
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 02:09
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 01:59
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 02:09
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 02:09
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 02:09
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.15%E -2.67%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.15%E -2.67%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -7.84%E -2.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 00:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 00:40
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 02:09
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 02:08
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.23%E -3.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 00:30
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.92%E -3.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 01:49
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.92%E -3.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 02:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-06-20 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-06-20 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-06-20 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-20 02:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 02:09
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-20 00:20
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-06-20 02:10
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-06-20 02:10
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%2.6%2026-06-20 01:59
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%3.3%2026-06-20 02:10