La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-06-20 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 6–5 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 65.36%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.870%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.70%65.27%65.38%67.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.471.5171.43%68.32%68.03%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 34.64%2.89momio equitativo
EV +0.470%
Ventaja +0.162%
Kelly +0.248%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%34.73%34.62%36.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.732.752.9038.46%36.60%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-20 02:09
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-20 02:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%4.4%2026-06-20 01:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.470%E +0.162%K +0.248%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-19 14:00
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -0.569%E -0.198%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-20 02:09
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.26%E -0.443%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-20 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.26%E -0.443%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 02:09
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.26%E -0.443%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 01:19
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.61%E -0.566%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-20 02:09
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -1.97%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -1.95%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-20 02:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.65%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-20 00:18
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.65%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 02:08
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 02:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 02:09
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 01:59
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -3.69%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 02:09
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.69%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 01:49
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-19 13:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 02:09
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 01:39
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 02:09
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 01:59
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 02:09
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 02:09
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 02:09
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.15%E -2.67%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.15%E -2.67%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -7.84%E -2.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 00:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.31%E -0.870%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 00:40
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:49
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 00:39
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 02:09
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:39
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.19%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 02:08
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.23%E -3.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 00:30
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.92%E -3.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 01:49
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.92%E -3.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 02:07
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-06-20 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-06-20 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-06-20 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-20 02:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-20 02:09
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-20 00:20
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-06-20 02:10
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-06-20 02:10
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%2.6%2026-06-20 01:59
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%3.3%2026-06-20 02:10