Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 20:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–7 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV -0.519%
Edge -0.293%
Kelly -0.674%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.22%56.19%57.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.691.7760.61%58.95%59.00%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.877%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.04%43.78%43.81%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3348.78%45.61%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 56.20%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 43.80%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +2.04%E +0.877%K +1.54%G +0.031%2.1%2026-05-10 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.145%E -0.064%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 19:59
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.02%E -0.452%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-10 19:54
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.02%E -0.452%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-10 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.46%E -0.649%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 19:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.46%E -0.649%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 19:55
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 19:55
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 19:59
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 19:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 20:00
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 19:59
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.70%E -4.04%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.70%E -4.04%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.70%E -4.04%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:59
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 20:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 19:54
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 18:34
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 19:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:04
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:39
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.519%E -0.293%K -0.674%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.09%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.09%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 18:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.33%E -1.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 19:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.96%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 19:39
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 19:39
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 19:54
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:24
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.22%E -4.98%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-10 19:44
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-10 19:34
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-10 20:04
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-10 19:49
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-05-10 19:04