The School of Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-12 01:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 69.45%1.44fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.955%
Kelly +3.03%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.12%69.28%69.18%70.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4675%73%73%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 30.55%3.27fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.341%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.72%30.82%32.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.053.3136%33%33%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV +1.39%E +0.955%K +3.03%G +0.042%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV -8.95%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 18:14
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.38%E -0.975%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.40%E -3.93%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 18:09
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.77%E -1.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.77%E -1.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.40%E -3.93%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 17:55
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.47%E -2.49%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 19:15
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.16%E -3.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +1.13%E +0.341%K +0.488%G +0.006%2.7%2026-07-10 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.16%E -3.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +1.13%E +0.341%K +0.488%G +0.006%2.7%2026-07-10 18:49
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.16%E -3.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.29%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.16%E -3.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 19:14
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.16%E -3.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.16%E -3.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 19:14
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.706%E -0.217%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 19:15
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.706%E -0.217%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 19:14
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.23%E -0.698%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 18:49
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.29%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 17:50
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 17:59
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 17:59
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 19:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -14.45%E -5.16%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -14.45%E -5.16%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 19:14
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.706%E -0.217%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-07-10 18:25
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-07-10 17:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%10.3%2026-07-10 19:15
Arbitrage (6 combinations) +1.31%1xBet 1.46 (69.4%) / LowVig.ag 3.31 (30.6%)Show all 6 combinations
Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)Margin
1xBet 1.46 (69.4%)LowVig.ag 3.31 (30.6%)+1.31%
1xBet 1.46 (69.4%)BetOnline.ag 3.31 (30.6%)+1.31%
1xBet 1.46 (69.0%)FanDuel 3.25 (31.0%)+0.743%
1xBet 1.46 (69.0%)theScore Bet 3.25 (31.0%)+0.743%
1xBet 1.46 (69.0%)SportsBet 3.25 (31.0%)+0.743%
1xBet 1.46 (68.7%)PointsBet (AU) 3.20 (31.3%)+0.258%