Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 01:15 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–9 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 72.56%1.38fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%72.57%72.61%74.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.321.3578.74%76.06%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.630%
Kelly +0.860%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.43%27.39%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.453.7331.25%28.78%28.99%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 72.56%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 27.44%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +2.35%E +0.630%K +0.860%G +0.020%2.6%2026-07-12 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +1.53%E +0.412%K +0.565%G +0.009%4.0%2026-07-12 01:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.53%E +0.412%K +0.565%G +0.009%5.8%2026-07-12 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.153%E +0.042%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 01:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.153%E +0.042%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 01:10
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.153%E +0.042%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 01:09
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.153%E +0.042%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 01:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -0.944%E -0.262%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 01:09
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.95%E -3.78%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 01:09
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.95%E -3.78%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 01:10
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:09
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -2.04%E -1.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -2.32%E -0.651%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.59%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.95%E -3.78%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.59%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:10
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.95%E -3.78%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.59%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:09
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.59%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:10
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -2.87%E -0.809%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 01:09
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -3.41%E -0.970%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:09
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -3.41%E -0.970%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:09
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 01:09
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.95%E -3.78%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.95%E -3.78%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 01:09
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.95%E -3.78%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 01:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.40%E -4.96%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.96%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 01:09
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.16%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.77%E -2.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 01:09
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 01:10
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 01:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 01:09
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.40%E -4.96%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 01:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -7.26%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:09
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 01:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 01:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 01:09
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 01:09
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 01:10
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.49%E -2.63%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.19%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-07-12 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-07-12 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-07-12 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-07-12 01:10
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-07-12 01:09
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-07-12 01:10
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-12 01:10
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-12 01:09
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-07-12 01:10
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-07-12 01:10

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