Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 2–4 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 50.95%1.96fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.85%51.05%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.881.9354.64%53.24%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.15%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.951.952.0152.63%51.39%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.95%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 49.05%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.01, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.66%E -0.858%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.66%E -0.858%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.66%E -0.858%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 00:05
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.66%E -0.858%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 00:05
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.66%E -0.858%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 00:05
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.17%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.91%E -0.955%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.68%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.955%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -2.68%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 23:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 01:24
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.19%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.42%E -0.706%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 12:15
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.19%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 09:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.70%E -1.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:25
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:25
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:30
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 01:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:24
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 17:19
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:14
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 00:40
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 13:39
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.81%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 00:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 20:30
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 01:24
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 09:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.24%E -3.39%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 17:25
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-04-22 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-22 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-04-22 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-04-22 01:35
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-22 01:25
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-21 13:35
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-22 01:35
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-04-22 01:35
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.3%2026-04-22 01:35
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-04-22 01:25