Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

2026-09-16 01:38 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.860%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.01%39.90%40.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.90%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.05%59.99%60.10%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.591.6366.23%62.92%62.89%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 39.97%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 60.03%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.47, with an expected value of -1.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.26%E -0.512%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.36%E -2.09%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-14 21:00
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.66%E -0.676%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.16%E -1.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 19:50
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.06%E -0.842%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.16%E -1.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 23:55
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.06%E -0.842%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:15
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.16%E -1.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.16%E -1.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 23:55
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.26%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 23:00
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.66%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -2.16%E -1.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 01:40
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -3.66%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 19:15
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.36%E -2.09%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.36%E -2.09%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 19:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.36%E -2.09%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 20:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.96%E -2.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.96%E -2.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 00:00
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.96%E -2.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 00:00
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:45
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 01:45
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 01:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.86%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.86%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 01:50
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.86%E -2.04%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.26%E -2.22%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.96%E -2.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.16%E -1.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:00
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.96%E -2.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 19:44
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 19:45
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 19:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -9.36%E -6.20%K -18.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-14 22:00
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-14 23:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-14 23:45
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%5.4%2026-09-15 01:50
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%7.2%2026-09-15 01:50