Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 01:39 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.550%
Kelly -0.943%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%41.12%41.17%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.302.4044.44%43.19%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 58.88%1.70fair odd
EV -0.487%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%58.88%58.83%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.47%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 41.12%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 58.88%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -0.487%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.32%E -0.550%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.32%E -0.550%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 01:15
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.73%E -0.725%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.25%E -1.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 01:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.14%E -0.900%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.25%E -1.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.14%E -0.900%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.25%E -1.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.14%E -0.900%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -2.55%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.55%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:24
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.55%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:25
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.08%E -0.640%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 01:25
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.25%E -1.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 01:34
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 13:10
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 19:40
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 12:59
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 12:25
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.79%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:40
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -4.20%E -1.80%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.487%E -0.288%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 00:29
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.61%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 16:05
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -5.02%E -2.17%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 01:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.66%E -0.997%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 23:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 15:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 01:04
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.01%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 01:24
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 23:09
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 01:29
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 01:30
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 01:29
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 01:30
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 01:30
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 01:29
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 01:29
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.67%E -2.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:45
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.67%E -2.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.08%E -3.13%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:29
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 01:29
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 01:35
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.14%E -5.22%K -14.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-04 01:25
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-04-04 01:35
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-04 01:35
BetOpenly2.39I 41.84%NM 41.42%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%1.0%2026-04-04 01:35
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 40.73%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.27%1.0%2026-04-04 01:35
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-04 01:35
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-04-04 01:35