Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v New York Mets

Início: 2026-05-02 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3–4 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Previsão 50.19%1.99odd justa
EV +2.40%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +2.30%
Crescimento +0.055%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.29%50.08%50.00%51.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.931.912.0454.35%51.71%52.36%49.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 49.81%2.01odd justa
EV +0.608%
Vantagem +0.301%
Kelly +0.596%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.34%49.92%50.00%52.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.902.0255.56%52.77%52.63%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.19%; New York Mets (Visitante): 49.81%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.99. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.04, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.40%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV +2.40%E +1.17%K +2.30%G +0.055%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:39
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:35
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.35%E -5.75%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 00:03
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.956%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 01:29
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.38%E -0.699%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 01:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 01:20
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 01:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 01:28
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 01:34
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 01:34
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:24
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:14
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.87%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 01:33
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.608%E +0.301%K +0.596%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-02 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.608%E +0.301%K +0.596%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-02 01:34
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.608%E +0.301%K +0.596%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-02 01:35
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.38%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:32
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 01:33
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.64%E -3.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.64%E -3.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.64%E -4.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 01:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-02 01:34
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-02 01:35
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:29
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-05-02 01:24
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%4.8%2026-05-02 01:34