Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-05-02 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3–4 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 50.19%1.99momio equitativo
EV +2.40%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +2.30%
Crecimiento +0.055%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.29%50.08%50.00%51.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.841.931.912.0454.35%51.71%52.36%49.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 49.81%2.01momio equitativo
EV +0.608%
Ventaja +0.301%
Kelly +0.596%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.34%49.92%50.00%52.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.902.0255.56%52.77%52.63%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.19%; New York Mets (Visitante): 49.81%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.99. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.04, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.40%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV +2.40%E +1.17%K +2.30%G +0.055%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:39
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.39%E +0.689%K +1.36%G +0.019%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:35
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.85%E -5.44%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.388%E +0.194%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.35%E -5.75%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 00:03
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.956%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 01:29
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.38%E -0.699%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 01:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 01:20
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 01:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 01:28
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 01:34
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 01:34
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:24
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:14
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.87%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 01:33
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.608%E +0.301%K +0.596%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-02 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.608%E +0.301%K +0.596%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-02 01:34
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.608%E +0.301%K +0.596%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-02 01:35
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.38%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 01:32
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 01:33
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.64%E -3.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.64%E -3.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.64%E -4.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 01:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-02 01:34
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-02 01:35
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-02 01:29
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-02 01:24
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-05-02 01:24
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%4.8%2026-05-02 01:34