Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 01:40 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 1–0 Kansas City Royals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 59.45%1.68fair odd
EV -0.117%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.49%59.34%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6864.52%62.09%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 40.55%2.47fair odd
EV +0.148%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.101%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.51%40.66%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.4744.44%42.47%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 59.45%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 40.55%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.466. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.470, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.148%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.148%E +0.060%K +0.101%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-16 00:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.257%E -0.105%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 22:19
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.257%E -0.105%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.663%E -0.271%K -0.457%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-15 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.663%E -0.271%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.07%E -0.438%K -0.742%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.47%E -0.607%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 22:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.47%E -0.607%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 01:24
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.88%E -0.777%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 21:59
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.28%E -0.948%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 01:25
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 00:19
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 01:08
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 01:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.85%E -5.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 01:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 23:29
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 01:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 00:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.91%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.91%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 15:49
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.91%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 01:34
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.117%E -0.070%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 15:49
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 01:09
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:19
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 01:14
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.12%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 23:29
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.53%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:14
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.53%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.53%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.84%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.84%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 19:04
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 15:49
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 15:49
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.06%E -3.84%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.85%E -5.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -8.37%E -3.70%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 01:09
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 01:28
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.87%E -3.05%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.19%-0.5%2026-08-16 01:30
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-16 01:35
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-16 00:45
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-08-16 01:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-16 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-16 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-16 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-16 01:25
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-15 10:14
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-08-16 00:30