The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 6–7 Kansas City Royals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 50.17%1.99fair odd
EV -0.661%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.674%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%50.31%50.00%51.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.911.9854.05%52.49%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV +0.654%
Edge +0.324%
Kelly +0.641%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.30%49.69%50.00%52.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.912.0254.95%52.10%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.17%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 49.83%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.654%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.654%E +0.324%K +0.641%G +0.004%2.4%2026-08-15 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.156%E +0.077%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 01:34
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.156%E +0.077%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 01:34
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.343%E -0.171%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.343%E -0.171%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 01:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.343%E -0.171%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 01:34
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.34%E -0.676%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 01:34
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.34%E -0.676%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 01:35
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.849%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 01:13
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.34%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 01:34
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 21:44
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 01:34
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 03:43
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 01:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 01:34
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 01:34
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 01:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 01:34
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 01:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 01:31
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 21:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 21:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 19:19
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:34
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 19:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:34
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:34
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 05:44
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 01:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 01:34
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.33%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.33%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 01:28
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:49
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:49
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:49
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 21:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 01:34
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:49
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.30%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.82%E -4.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.82%E -4.23%K -9.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 01:33
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.18%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.81%E -4.82%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 21:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.661%E -0.334%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.31%E -5.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-08-15 01:34
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-15 01:35
ProphetX◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-15 01:34
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-15 01:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-15 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-15 01:35
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-15 00:34
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-15 01:29
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-08-15 01:34
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%3.1%2026-08-15 01:34