Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-07-29 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 2–3 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Previsão 49.96%2.00odd justa
EV -0.072%
Vantagem -0.036%
Kelly -0.072%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.86%50.00%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.921.912.0054.05%52.22%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 50.04%2.00odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -0.984%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.14%50.00%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.901.911.9654.64%52.56%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 49.96%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 50.04%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.001. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.000, com valor esperado de -0.072%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.072%E -0.036%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:44
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.07%E -0.541%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.57%E -0.797%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.57%E -0.797%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.57%E -0.797%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 01:19
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.57%E -0.797%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 01:19
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.57%E -0.797%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 01:19
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.57%E -0.797%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 15:19
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -0.984%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.07%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 01:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 01:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 23:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 01:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 01:19
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 05:05
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 01:24
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:34
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 11:29
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 11:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 11:29
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 12:57
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:19
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:20
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:19
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:20
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:19
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:05
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 01:09
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:35
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:40
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 01:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 03:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.07%E -3.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 01:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 01:32
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 01:33
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 01:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 49.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 50.37%-1.2%2026-07-29 01:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-07-29 01:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-07-29 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-07-29 01:15
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-29 01:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-29 01:35
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%0.8%2026-07-29 01:35
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-28 22:54
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-28 20:55
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%2.6%2026-07-29 01:34