L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

2026-07-29 01:39 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prévision 49.93%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.829%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%49.81%50.00%50.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.911.911.9754.95%52.37%52.36%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.07%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.953%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.87%50.19%50.00%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.911.9655.56%52.69%52.36%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.63%E -0.829%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.63%E -0.829%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 18:45
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.63%E -0.829%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 18:50
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.953%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:00
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 20:08
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.37%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:09
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 19:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:29
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:25
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:10
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.37%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 18:45
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:10
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:05
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 20:09
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 20:08
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -9.12%E -5.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.12%E -5.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 20:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 18:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 20:15
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-07-27 21:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%10.2%2026-07-27 20:10