Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 4–3 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 51.00%1.96fair odd
EV +0.467%
Edge +0.237%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%50.91%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9755.56%53.61%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.09%48.95%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.951.962.0152.63%51.32%51.15%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 51.00%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 49.00%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.467%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.467%E +0.237%K +0.481%G +0.002%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.45%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-06 01:35
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.467%E +0.237%K +0.481%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.43%E -2.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.043%E -0.022%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.94%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 01:34
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.57%E -0.815%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 01:30
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.57%E -0.815%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 01:29
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.08%E -1.09%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.90%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:33
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.51%E -0.750%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.00%E -0.998%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 00:19
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 19:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 19:49
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.10%E -1.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.45%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 01:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 01:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 19:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 01:29
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:34
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.43%E -2.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.92%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 01:34
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.92%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 01:33
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.63%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.00%E -0.998%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-05 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.63%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.63%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 22:10
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.63%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.45%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 13:45
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.63%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.45%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 23:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.63%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.45%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 23:34
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.14%E -2.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:15
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.96%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.96%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.96%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.45%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:14
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.16%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.96%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.43%E -2.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.18%E -3.95%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 01:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.18%E -3.95%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.18%E -3.95%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.94%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:30
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:30
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:29
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 01:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.00%E -0.998%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.47%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%0.0%2026-05-06 01:34
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-06 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-06 01:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-06 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-06 01:29
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-06 01:29
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-06 01:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-06 01:29
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-05-06 01:35