Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 20:08 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 8–2 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 49.07%2.04fair odd
EV -0.390%
Edge -0.192%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%49.02%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.942.0352.63%51.48%51.55%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 50.93%1.96fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.98%51.05%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9355.56%53.24%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 49.07%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 50.93%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -0.390%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.390%E -0.192%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 19:55
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -0.881%E -0.436%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 19:52
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.86%E -0.931%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 20:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.86%E -0.931%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 20:00
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.84%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.882%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.882%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 20:05
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.882%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 20:04
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.882%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 17:28
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:50
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 04:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:49
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:48
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:35
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:20
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.70%E -0.882%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 18:05
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.30%E -2.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.30%E -2.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.30%E -2.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:25
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.30%E -2.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.30%E -2.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:05
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:05
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:00
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.29%E -3.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 18:35
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-05-06 20:04
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.38%0.3%2026-05-06 20:05
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-06 20:05
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-06 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-06 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-06 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-06 20:05
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-06 14:05
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-06 20:05