Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 01:39 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 38.82%2.58fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.650%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.77%38.87%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.462.452.5542.02%40.58%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 61.18%1.63fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%61.23%61.13%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.05%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 38.82%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 61.18%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.01%E -0.395%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.01%E -0.395%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.23%E -5.49%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 21:38
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -2.17%E -0.862%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-07 01:30
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -2.17%E -0.862%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-07 01:35
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.50%E -0.932%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-07 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 23:40
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 21:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 21:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:50
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 21:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -3.34%E -1.34%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 21:53
DraftKings🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.34%E -1.34%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.17%E -3.34%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 21:39
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-07 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:45
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:45
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 22:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 11:30
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 11:30
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 11:30
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 21:35
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 01:15
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.34%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.34%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.34%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:54
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.34%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.34%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.78%E -3.76%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.78%E -3.76%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 21:39
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 23:50
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.28%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.34%E -2.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 01:05
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:40
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:29
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.56%E -2.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:29
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.72%E -1.71%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.34%E -2.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.76%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 38.86%1.64I 60.98%NM 61.14%-0.3%2026-04-07 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-04-07 01:35
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-04-07 01:35
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-04-07 01:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-04-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-04-07 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-04-07 01:35
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-06 22:05
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%1.6%2026-04-07 01:30
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%1.6%2026-04-07 01:35