Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 5–6 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd
EV +0.941%
Edge +0.428%
Kelly +0.784%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.58%45.90%45.78%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.072.2050.00%48.25%48.31%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 54.12%1.85fair odd
EV -0.964%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.10%54.22%55.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.35%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 45.88%; Athletics (Visit): 54.12%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.941%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.941%E +0.428%K +0.784%G +0.007%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 01:20
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.482%E +0.220%K +0.405%G +0.002%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-21 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.436%E -0.201%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.436%E -0.201%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 01:30
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.895%E -0.414%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 01:30
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.895%E -0.414%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 01:20
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 00:09
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 00:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 21:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 21:30
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 00:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 00:09
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:20
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 01:30
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 21:40
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.57%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 23:30
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.57%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 00:09
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.57%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 00:09
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 23:38
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 22:48
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:40
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.964%E -0.527%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 00:50
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:30
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 22:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 21:29
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.40%E -3.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.05%E -1.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.40%E -3.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.05%E -1.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 00:50
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.40%E -3.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 22:50
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-05-21 01:30
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-21 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-20 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-20 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-20 22:20
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-21 01:10
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-21 00:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-20 22:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-05-21 00:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-05-20 23:10