Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 4–6 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 48.42%2.07fair odd
EV -0.731%
Edge -0.357%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.36%48.47%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.971.972.0553.48%50.78%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 51.58%1.94fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.64%51.53%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.861.9155.56%53.92%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 48.42%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 51.58%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -0.731%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.731%E -0.357%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-10 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.70%E -0.837%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 23:10
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.70%E -0.837%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.70%E -0.837%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 23:09
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.70%E -0.837%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 23:10
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.18%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.01%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 23:30
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.18%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 23:20
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.67%E -1.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.49%E -0.780%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 23:10
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 20:50
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 23:19
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 23:08
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 02:53
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 23:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 21:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 21:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 21:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 23:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 23:08
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:50
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 23:39
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -4.60%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -4.60%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.60%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:48
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:10
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:37
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 23:00
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 23:00
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.03%E -3.66%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.780%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 23:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.99%E -4.21%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.45%E -5.05%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 23:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-10 23:00
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-10 23:40
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-06-10 23:40
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-06-10 14:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-06-10 23:40
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%3.8%2026-06-10 23:40
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%5.2%2026-06-10 23:40