Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–3 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 46.87%2.13fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%46.83%46.82%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.042.1151.28%49.03%49.02%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 53.13%1.88fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.17%53.18%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.65%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 46.87%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 53.13%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.11, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.11%E -0.527%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.30%E -1.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 23:39
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.58%E -0.752%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 21:30
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 23:09
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 23:20
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.52%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 23:09
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.52%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.52%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.30%E -1.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-09 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 23:10
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 20:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 19:59
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 05:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 20:49
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 20:53
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 20:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:39
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:29
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 23:29
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:30
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:30
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:29
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:29
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:30
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 11:49
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 21:29
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 21:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 21:29
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.30%E -1.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-09 23:09
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 20:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 23:09
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 07:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 23:08
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.49%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 07:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 20:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 23:19
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 23:20
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 23:28
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.14%E -4.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 23:28
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-09 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-09 23:30
Novig2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-09 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-09 23:39
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-09 17:29
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-09 13:50
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-09 23:09
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-06-09 23:39
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.4%2026-06-09 23:30