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Kansas City Royals v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 46.50%2.15fair odd
EV -0.484%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.425%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.39%46.51%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.072.052.1450.25%48.39%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 53.50%1.87fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.61%53.49%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8358.48%56.37%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 46.50%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 53.50%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -0.484%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.484%E -0.226%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.17%E -1.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-21 17:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.484%E -0.226%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.17%E -1.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.484%E -0.226%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.41%E -0.667%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-21 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.41%E -0.667%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.63%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.41%E -0.667%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.41%E -0.667%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.88%E -0.891%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.63%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.74%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.74%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.24%E -2.37%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.74%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 16:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.20%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.20%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -4.98%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-20 18:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 08:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-20 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 04:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 04:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 04:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 04:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 04:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 08:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 08:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.45%E -4.31%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.13%E -2.52%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.60%E -2.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.60%E -2.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.70%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 08:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-21 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.46%E -3.75%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.45%E -4.31%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-21 18:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34% | 0.0% | 2026-06-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-06-21 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-06-21 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-06-21 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-06-21 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-06-21 18:09 |