L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 20:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 5–0 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 46.09%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.910%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.791%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%46.08%45.91%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.19%48.08%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.91%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.803%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.956%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.92%54.09%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.45%56.50%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.910%E -0.423%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.910%E -0.423%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:08
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.910%E -0.423%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 19:59
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.83%E -0.860%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.83%E -0.860%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 19:59
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.75%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 19:29
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.803%E -0.436%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 16:39
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.34%E -0.733%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 20:00
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 20:09
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 16:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 19:39
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.19%E -3.56%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.73%E -3.89%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 06:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.27%E -4.23%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.35%E -4.91%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 20:09
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 20:09
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:09
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 19:59
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:00
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:00
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 19:59
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.06%E -2.46%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.42%E -1.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.06%E -2.46%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:09
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 16:39
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:39
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 20:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 20:08
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 16:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.19%E -3.56%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 20:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.19%E -3.56%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 20:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.73%E -3.89%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 20:09
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.98%E -2.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 20:00
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -2.42%E -1.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 20:08
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 16:39
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 16:39
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-23 20:09
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-23 20:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-05-23 20:09