La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-05-23 20:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–0 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 46.09%2.17momio equitativo
EV -0.910%
Ventaja -0.423%
Kelly -0.791%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.08%45.91%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.19%48.08%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 53.91%1.85momio equitativo
EV -0.803%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.956%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.92%54.09%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.45%56.50%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.910%E -0.423%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.910%E -0.423%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:08
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.910%E -0.423%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 19:59
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.83%E -0.860%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.83%E -0.860%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 19:59
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.75%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 19:29
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.803%E -0.436%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 16:39
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.34%E -0.733%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 20:00
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 20:09
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 16:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 15:49
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 19:39
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.19%E -3.56%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.73%E -3.89%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 06:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.27%E -4.23%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.35%E -4.91%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 20:09
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 20:09
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:09
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.14%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 20:00
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 19:59
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:00
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 20:00
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.60%E -2.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 19:59
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.06%E -2.46%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.42%E -1.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.06%E -2.46%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 15:09
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 16:39
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:39
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.58%E -2.59%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 20:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 20:08
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 16:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.65%E -3.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.19%E -3.56%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 20:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.19%E -3.56%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 20:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.73%E -3.89%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 20:09
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.98%E -2.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 20:00
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -2.42%E -1.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 20:08
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 16:39
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.04%E -2.27%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 16:39
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.96%E -1.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-23 20:09
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-23 20:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-05-23 20:09