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Kansas City Royals v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 47.11%2.12fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.08%47.20%48.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.042.0951.28%49.18%49.02%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 52.89%1.89fair odd
EV -0.558%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.81%52.92%52.80%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8857.47%55.44%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 47.11%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 52.89%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -0.558%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.55%E -0.741%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.02%E -0.972%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.15%E -1.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.02%E -0.972%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.02%E -0.972%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.49%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.62%E -0.869%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.96%E -1.44%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.38%E -3.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.558%E -0.297%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.09%E -0.581%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.09%E -0.581%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.43%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.96%E -4.58%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.09%E -0.581%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.09%E -0.581%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 14:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.85%E -3.29%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.85%E -3.29%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.85%E -3.29%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.85%E -3.29%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.90%E -1.91%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.38%E -3.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.32%E -2.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -1.62%E -0.869%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.38%E -3.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.79%E -2.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.15%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.85%E -3.29%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.14%E -4.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 18:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |