L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 23:41 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 3–2 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 49.88%2.00cote équitable
EV +2.26%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +2.15%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.19%49.76%50.00%51.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.912.0555.56%52.23%52.36%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.12%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.902%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.65%50.24%50.00%53.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.871.881.9658.48%53.34%53.19%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV +2.26%E +1.10%K +2.15%G +0.049%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:40
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV +0.263%E +0.131%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.23%E -0.623%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -1.23%E -0.623%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 23:40
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.73%E -0.879%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -1.73%E -0.879%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -14.30%E -8.36%K -20.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:20
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-21 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:40
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:40
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 22:05
Everygame1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.77%E -0.902%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 20:35
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 23:39
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:45
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:35
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 23:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:45
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:58
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:50
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:35
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:05
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:00
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:35
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 23:40
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.22%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 23:40
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:34
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 23:40
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -8.22%E -4.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 23:40
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.21%E -5.67%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 23:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.21%E -5.67%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -10.21%E -5.67%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%0.0%2026-07-21 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-21 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-21 23:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-21 05:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-21 23:40
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%3.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%3.7%2026-07-21 23:40
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.98%12.1%2026-07-21 23:40