La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-07-21 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 3–2 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 49.88%2.00momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.19%49.76%50.00%51.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.912.0555.56%52.23%52.36%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 50.12%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.65%50.24%50.00%53.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.871.881.9658.48%53.34%53.19%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV +2.26%E +1.10%K +2.15%G +0.049%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:40
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV +0.263%E +0.131%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.23%E -0.623%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -1.23%E -0.623%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 23:40
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.73%E -0.879%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -1.73%E -0.879%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -14.30%E -8.36%K -20.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:20
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-21 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:40
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:40
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 22:05
Everygame1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.77%E -0.902%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 20:00
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 20:35
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 23:39
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:45
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:40
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:35
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 23:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:45
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:58
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:50
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:35
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:05
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:00
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:35
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 23:40
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 23:40
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.22%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 23:40
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:34
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 23:40
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -8.22%E -4.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 23:40
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.28%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.21%E -5.67%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 23:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.21%E -5.67%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -10.21%E -5.67%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%0.0%2026-07-21 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-21 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-21 23:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-21 05:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-21 23:40
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%3.1%2026-07-21 23:40
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%3.7%2026-07-21 23:40
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.98%12.1%2026-07-21 23:40