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Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 49.88%2.00fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%49.87%50.00%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.921.9854.05%52.11%52.22%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 50.12%2.00fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%50.13%50.00%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.901.901.9655.25%52.71%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 49.88%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 50.12%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.23%E -0.622%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.73%E -0.878%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.27%E -1.17%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.878%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.878%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.878%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.878%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.878%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.904%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.23%E -1.14%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 14:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 01:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.78%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 12:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 12:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.78%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 18:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 12:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.22%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.78%E -4.23%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 19:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.22%E -3.88%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -9.29%E -5.13%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |