Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-04-01 23:42 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 49.24%2.03odd justa
EV -0.539%
Vantagem -0.267%
Kelly -0.528%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.27%49.27%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.941.952.0254.05%51.47%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 50.76%1.97odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.520%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.73%50.73%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.51%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 49.24%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 50.76%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.03. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -0.539%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.539%E -0.267%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.539%E -0.267%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 23:39
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.539%E -0.267%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 23:39
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:39
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:39
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.00%E -1.52%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.01%E -0.520%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:40
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:38
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:38
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.54%E -1.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 23:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 23:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 23:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 23:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-04-01 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-04-01 23:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-04-01 23:40
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-04-01 23:39
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%2.6%2026-04-01 23:40