L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 23:42 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 49.24%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.539%
Avantage -0.267%
Kelly -0.528%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%49.27%49.27%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.941.952.0254.05%51.47%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.76%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.520%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.73%50.73%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.51%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.539%E -0.267%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.539%E -0.267%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 23:39
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.539%E -0.267%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 23:39
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:39
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.52%E -0.762%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:39
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.00%E -1.52%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.01%E -0.520%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.49%E -1.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:40
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:38
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:39
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:38
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:38
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:40
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.54%E -1.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:38
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.97%E -2.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.11%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 23:38
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.46%E -2.84%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:39
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.06%E -2.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 23:39
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 23:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 23:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:39
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-04-01 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-04-01 23:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-04-01 23:40
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-04-01 23:39
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%2.6%2026-04-01 23:40