Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 54.58%1.83fair odd
EV +0.969%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%54.08%54.69%55.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.741.8559.88%57.10%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 45.42%2.20fair odd
EV -0.525%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%45.92%45.31%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.092.102.1953.19%47.84%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 54.58%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 45.42%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.969%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV +0.969%E +0.524%K +1.14%G +0.011% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV +0.969%E +0.524%K +1.14%G +0.011% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.123%E -0.067%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -0.669%E -0.367%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -10.06%E -5.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.76%E -0.978%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.76%E -0.978%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.76%E -0.978%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.76%E -0.978%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.76%E -0.978%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.43%E -5.86%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.31%E -1.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.89%E -0.874%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.525%E -0.240%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.979%E -0.449%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.979%E -0.449%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.43%E -0.661%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.89%E -0.874%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.89%E -0.874%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 20:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.94%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.43%E -0.661%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.94%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.89%E -0.874%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -0.979%E -0.449%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:21 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -14.61%E -7.77%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.16%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 20:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.70%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 23:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.70%E -4.33%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.52%E -2.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -6.43%E -3.12%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 23:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -8.86%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -7.34%E -3.60%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.86%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -8.25%E -4.08%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69% | -0.1% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:41 |