Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 2.04
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 51.18%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 48.82%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -0.401%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.87%E -0.928%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.87%E -0.928%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.87%E -0.928%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.87%E -0.928%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 11:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.28%E -1.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.79%E -2.01%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.401%E -0.196%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 22:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 21:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.81%E -2.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 22:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.81%E -2.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.81%E -2.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.81%E -2.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.81%E -2.59%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.83%E -3.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.35%E -3.47%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 23:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.88%E -4.38%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 21:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 23:10 |