Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 50.91%1.96fair odd
EV +0.301%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.310%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%50.77%51.03%51.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.881.881.9755.25%53.17%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 49.09%2.04fair odd
EV -0.846%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.59%49.23%48.97%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.942.0254.05%51.58%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.91%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 49.09%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.301%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.301%E +0.153%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.718%E -0.368%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-21 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.74%E -0.899%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.83%E -0.914%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.74%E -0.899%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 21:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.83%E -0.914%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.74%E -3.55%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.846%E -0.419%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.83%E -0.914%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.83%E -0.914%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.83%E -0.914%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.83%E -0.914%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.83%E -0.914%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 20:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 09:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.75%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.26%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.34%E -0.665%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 20:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.26%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.81%E -1.42%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.26%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.32%E -1.17%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.30%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.30%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.30%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.26%E -2.73%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.26%E -2.73%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.75%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.75%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.74%E -3.55%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.11%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 21:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.26%E -2.73%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 21:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.30%E -2.85%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.75%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.28%E -2.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.26%E -2.73%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.25%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 23:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.74%E -3.55%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 23:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.74%E -3.55%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.75%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.75%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.75%E -3.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -8.70%E -4.68%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -7.85%E -4.33%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.72%E -4.11%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-21 20:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 00:09 |