A Escola das Odds

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-05-06 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 1–3 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 55.60%1.80odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.894%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%55.47%55.70%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.27%58.48%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 44.40%2.25odd justa
EV +0.338%
Vantagem +0.149%
Kelly +0.268%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.50%44.53%44.30%46.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.962.152.152.2651.02%46.60%46.51%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.338%E +0.149%K +0.268%G +0.001%1.7%2026-05-06 23:20
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.106%E -0.047%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 23:15
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.106%E -0.047%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.44%E -0.648%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 23:40
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.44%E -0.648%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 23:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.44%E -0.648%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 21:10
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:00
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:04
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.58%E -0.894%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 12:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.21%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 20:42
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 22:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 22:35
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 22:35
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 18:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:35
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 13:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:59
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 21:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 23:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:11
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 23:38
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 23:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:50
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:40
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 22:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.43%E -2.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 11:44
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 23:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:05
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 23:40
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 23:40
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 03:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 23:40
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -7.21%E -3.45%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 23:40
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.26%E -5.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.14%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 23:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 21:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -12.98%E -6.62%K -13.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.59%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.41%-0.7%2026-05-06 23:40
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-05-06 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-05-06 23:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-06 23:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%3.6%2026-05-06 23:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%4.9%2026-05-06 23:40