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Kansas City Royals v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 61.60%1.62fair odd
EV -0.825%
Edge -0.513%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.80%61.62%61.58%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.541.6167.11%64.91%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 38.40%2.60fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.38%38.42%39.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.492.502.5642.02%40.19%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 61.60%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 38.40%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -0.825%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%EV -0.825%E -0.513%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%EV -3.23%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.825%E -0.513%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.44%E -0.901%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.38%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.69%E -0.662%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -2.46%E -0.969%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -2.46%E -0.969%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 23:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.29%E -2.10%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.29%E -2.10%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -6.30%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 23:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 13:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.69%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.07%E -2.92%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.07%E -2.92%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.15%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 20:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.77%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.53%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.815%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 05:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 23:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.22%E -5.51%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.77%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.22%E -5.51%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.77%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.22%E -5.51%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78% | 12.2% | 2026-04-09 23:40 |