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Kansas City Royals v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 61.91%1.62fair odd
EV -0.947%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.85%61.98%61.84%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.6066.67%64.92%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 38.09%2.63fair odd
EV -0.961%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.601%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.02%38.16%39.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.442.532.552.6040.98%39.58%39.22%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 61.91%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 38.09%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -0.947%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.947%E -0.592%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.63%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.19%E -1.38%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.19%E -1.38%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.48%E -0.971%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.19%E -1.38%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.48%E -0.971%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 16:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.10%E -0.819%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -7.06%E -2.89%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 19:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.91%E -2.39%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 15:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 20:25 |