Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 2.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 61.46%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 38.54%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.200%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.200%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.34%E -0.524%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-10 21:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.11%E -0.832%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-10 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.11%E -0.832%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-10 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.11%E -0.832%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 19:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.50%E -0.987%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.50%E -0.987%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-10 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.50%E -0.987%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.88%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 12:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 06:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 05:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 07:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 22:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 03:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.74%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.74%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 23:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 23:28 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 61.54% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 38.46% | -1.5% | 2026-04-10 23:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |