Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Athletics

2026-08-18 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 54.73%1.83fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.26%54.83%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.731.741.8066.67%57.77%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 45.27%2.21fair odd
EV +13.17%
Edge +5.27%
Kelly +8.78%
Growth +1.16%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%44.74%45.17%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.5050.00%47.36%47.62%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 54.73%; Athletics (Visit): 45.27%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.50, producing a positive expected value of +13.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -17.90%E -11.93%K -35.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +13.17%E +5.27%K +8.78%G +1.16%6.7%2026-08-17 23:38
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.410%E -0.187%K -0.342%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 23:10
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.48%E -0.824%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 21:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 23:44
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.58%E -1.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 20:44
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 20:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 20:44
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 21:49
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 20:49
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:44
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:34
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:44
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:49
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 21:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:00
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 21:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 21:58
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.84%E -2.81%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 20:44
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 20:49
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.50%E -4.44%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.46%E -4.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 23:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.14%E -5.51%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.46%E -4.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-17 23:44
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-17 20:45
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%2.8%2026-08-17 23:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05%9.7%2026-08-18 00:00
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-08-17 22:00
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 54.34%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.66%12.9%2026-08-17 23:55
Arbitrage (25 combinations) +4.65%1xBet 1.80 (58.1%) / BoyleSports 2.50 (41.9%)Show all 25 combinations
Kansas City Royals (Local)Athletics (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 1.80 (58.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.9%)+4.65%
Caesars🎯 1.77 (58.5%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.5%)+3.63%
Betway🎯 1.77 (58.5%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.5%)+3.63%
FanDuel🎯 1.77 (58.5%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.5%)+3.63%
Fanatics🎯 1.77 (58.5%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.5%)+3.63%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.77 (58.5%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.5%)+3.63%
theScore Bet🎯 1.77 (58.5%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.5%)+3.63%
Bovada🎯 1.76 (58.7%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.3%)+3.29%
Bet Right🎯 1.75 (58.8%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.2%)+2.94%
PlayUp🎯 1.75 (58.8%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.2%)+2.94%
Coolbet🎯 1.75 (58.8%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.2%)+2.94%
SportsBet🎯 1.75 (58.8%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.2%)+2.94%
DraftKings🎯 1.74 (59.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.0%)+2.59%
Fliff🎯 1.74 (59.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (41.0%)+2.59%
Unibet (UK)🎯 1.73 (59.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.9%)+2.25%
Paddy Power🎯 1.73 (59.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.9%)+2.25%
888sport🎯 1.73 (59.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.9%)+2.25%
Bet Victor🎯 1.73 (59.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.9%)+2.25%
Betr (AU)🎯 1.73 (59.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.9%)+2.25%
888sport (SE)🎯 1.73 (59.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.9%)+2.25%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.73 (59.1%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.9%)+2.25%
Winamax (DE)🎯 1.72 (59.2%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.8%)+1.90%
Betclic (FR)🎯 1.72 (59.2%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.8%)+1.90%
ReBet🎯 1.69 (59.7%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.3%)+0.835%
Unibet (FR)🎯 1.68 (59.8%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%

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