Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-08-18 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 4–3 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 59.37%1.68fair odd
EV -0.254%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.88%59.23%59.49%60.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6864.94%62.19%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 40.63%2.46fair odd
EV -0.462%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.319%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.80%40.77%40.51%43.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.342.4546.51%42.88%42.64%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 59.37%; Athletics (Visit): 40.63%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.684. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.680, with an expected value of -0.254%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.254%E -0.151%K -0.374%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.462%E -0.189%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-18 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.27%E -0.525%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-18 23:39
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -0.869%E -0.356%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 17:55
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.27%E -0.525%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.27%E -0.525%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.09%E -0.866%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.09%E -0.866%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 23:40
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 23:40
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.31%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:39
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:39
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -12.65%E -5.88%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 23:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.462%E -0.189%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 19:46
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.27%E -0.525%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:04
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 23:39
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:39
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.31%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.31%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:30
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.71%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.71%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.93%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.34%E -2.29%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.34%E -2.29%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 17:39
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.34%E -2.29%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 17:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -12.65%E -5.88%K -11.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 23:40
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 19:25
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 21:25
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.00%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.71%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 19:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:40
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.74%E -2.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.74%E -2.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 21:14
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -8.18%E -3.62%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 23:36
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.62%E -4.83%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-18 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 23:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.57%E -5.56%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.62%E -4.83%K -8.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-18 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-08-18 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-18 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-18 23:35
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-18 23:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-18 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-08-18 23:40
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-08-18 23:40
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-18 23:40
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-18 23:40
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%12.6%2026-08-18 23:40