La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Tampa Bay Rays

Inizio: 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 10–8 Tampa Bay Rays

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 51.43%1.94quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.926%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.47%51.47%51.35%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.10%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Rays (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.57%2.06quota equa
EV -0.432%
Vantaggio -0.211%
Kelly -0.412%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.53%48.65%50.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.981.982.0553.48%50.60%50.51%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.37%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 22:55
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:05
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.40%E -0.691%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 22:25
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.89%E -0.935%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:09
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.80%E -2.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 22:24
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:10
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.432%E -0.211%K -0.412%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.450%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:05
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.450%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:05
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 20:25
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 21:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 19:35
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 20:20
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.89%E -0.935%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 21:15
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.37%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:20
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.80%E -2.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 21:39
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:50
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 20:45
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:05
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 22:05
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:13
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 20:44
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:05
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 22:05
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 22:05
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:05
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.94%E -4.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 22:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-07-04 23:05
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-04 22:25
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-04 23:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-04 22:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-04 23:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%4.5%2026-07-04 23:10