L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Tampa Bay Rays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 10–8 Tampa Bay Rays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 51.43%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.926%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%51.47%51.35%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.10%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.57%2.06cote équitable
EV -0.432%
Avantage -0.211%
Kelly -0.412%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.53%48.65%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.981.982.0553.48%50.60%50.51%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.37%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 22:55
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:05
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.40%E -0.691%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 22:25
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.89%E -0.935%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:09
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.80%E -2.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 22:24
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:10
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.432%E -0.211%K -0.412%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.450%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:05
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.450%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:05
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 20:25
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 21:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 19:35
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 20:20
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.89%E -0.935%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 21:15
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.37%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:20
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 20:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.80%E -2.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 21:39
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:50
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 20:45
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:05
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 22:05
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:15
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:13
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 20:44
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:05
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 22:05
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 22:05
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 22:05
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.94%E -4.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 22:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-07-04 23:05
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-04 22:25
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-04 23:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-04 22:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-04 23:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%4.5%2026-07-04 23:10