The School of Odds

Houston Astros v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 19:31 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–0 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 51.56%1.94fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%51.59%51.59%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.791.851.851.9156%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 48.44%2.06fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.41%48.41%49.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.982.0353%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.52%E -0.794%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 19:15
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 15:50
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.55%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:50
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.67%E -0.823%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.67%E -0.823%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:39
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.67%E -0.823%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:40
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.67%E -0.823%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:39
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.67%E -0.823%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 19:19
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 15:35
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 16:34
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 17:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:35
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:34
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 18:25
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 15:55
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 19:09
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 17:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:00
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:24
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:00
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:05
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 15:50
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:49
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:19
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.97%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 19:30
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 18:05
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 15:49
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:29
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:29
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:09
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:05
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 17:30
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.32%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:30
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.32%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 19:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 19:29
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 15:34
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.51%E -3.38%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.16%E -3.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 15:34
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 18:04
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 18:05
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 17:09
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.70%E -4.30%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.70%E -4.30%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%-0.1%2026-07-05 19:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Polymarket1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-07-05 19:30
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-07-05 19:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-05 16:00
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-07-05 19:30
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-05 19:00