The School of Odds

Houston Astros v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-07-05 19:31 — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis)

Option 1: Houston Astros (Local)

1.9252.08%Min
1.9950.17%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0548.78%Max
46.34%2.158Min
49.47%2.021Max
47.97%2.084Mean
47.89%2.088Median
47.91%2.087IQM
48.00%2.083Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 47.91%

EV -1.78%Edge -0.867%Kelly -1.69%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

1.7756.50%Min
1.8354.66%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.9252.08%Max
50.53%1.979Min
53.66%1.863Max
52.03%1.922Mean
52.11%1.919Median
52.09%1.920IQM
52.00%1.923Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.92 under the IQM model: 52.09%

EV +0.007%Edge +0.003%Kelly +0.007%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHouston Astros (Local)Tampa Bay Rays (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet2.00I 50.00% NM 48.98%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 51.02%EV +0.007% E +0.003% K +0.007% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 14:10
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00% NM 48.85%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 51.15%EV -0.514% E -0.269% K -0.565% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 14:15
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -8.01% E -4.17% K -8.70% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -2.08% E -1.10% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:14
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02% NM 47.83%EV -2.26% E -1.11% K -2.17% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 52.17%EV -2.60% E -1.39% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 14:15
ReBet2.00I 50.00% NM 48.32%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.68%EV -2.60% E -1.39% K -2.99% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 14:14
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -6.57% E -3.37% K -6.91% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -2.60% E -1.39% K -2.99% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 14:09
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -6.57% E -3.37% K -6.91% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -2.60% E -1.39% K -2.99% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 14:09
Bovada1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -6.57% E -3.37% K -6.91% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -2.60% E -1.39% K -2.99% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 14:04
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55% NM 48.95%EV -7.05% E -3.63% K -7.50% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 51.05%EV -3.12% E -1.68% K -3.63% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00% NM 48.05%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.95%EV -3.64% E -1.97% K -4.28% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:10
TAB2.00I 50.00% NM 48.05%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.95%EV -3.64% E -1.97% K -4.28% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 48.05%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.95%EV -3.64% E -1.97% K -4.28% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:04
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75% NM 47.79%EV -3.69% E -1.84% K -3.66% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 52.21%EV -4.16% E -2.26% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51% NM 48.17%EV -5.13% E -2.59% K -5.24% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 51.83%EV -4.16% E -2.26% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 14:14
SportsBet1.97I 50.76% NM 48.29%EV -5.61% E -2.85% K -5.78% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 51.71%EV -4.16% E -2.26% K -4.95% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:10
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02% NM 47.29%EV -2.26% E -1.11% K -2.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.71%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50% NM 47.53%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.47%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50% NM 47.53%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.47%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 14:00
Betway2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 14:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 14:09
Caesars2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:15
BetMGM2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:19
Coral2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:20
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 14:00
DraftKings1.99I 50.25% NM 47.91%EV -4.65% E -2.34% K -4.70% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.09%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 14:14
Betsson1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.13% E -2.59% K -5.24% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:05
NordicBet1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.13% E -2.59% K -5.24% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:04
PlayUp1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.13% E -2.59% K -5.24% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:10
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -6.57% E -3.37% K -6.91% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -4.68% E -2.56% K -5.64% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:14
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:10
Casumo2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:09
Unibet2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:10
betPARX2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:09
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.22% E -1.59% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:09
Neds2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:14
Coolbet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25% NM 47.77%EV -4.65% E -2.34% K -4.70% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.23%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02% NM 48.15%EV -6.09% E -3.11% K -6.34% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 51.85%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:15
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02% NM 48.15%EV -6.09% E -3.11% K -6.34% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 51.85%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:14
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02% NM 48.15%EV -6.09% E -3.11% K -6.34% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 51.85%EV -5.20% E -2.86% K -6.34% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:14
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.81I 55.25% NM 52.49%EV -5.72% E -3.16% K -7.07% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:09
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.81I 55.25% NM 52.49%EV -5.72% E -3.16% K -7.07% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.81I 55.25% NM 52.49%EV -5.72% E -3.16% K -7.07% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.81I 55.25% NM 52.49%EV -5.72% E -3.16% K -7.07% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -1.78% E -0.867% K -1.69% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 12:20
888sport2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 13:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 13:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.17% E -2.09% K -4.17% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76% NM 47.75%EV -5.61% E -2.85% K -5.78% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.25%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 14:15
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02% NM 47.87%EV -6.09% E -3.11% K -6.34% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.13%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 14:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -6.57% E -3.37% K -6.91% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -6.24% E -3.47% K -7.80% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02% NM 47.59%EV -6.09% E -3.11% K -6.34% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.41%EV -7.29% E -4.09% K -9.34% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Fliff2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -1.78% E -0.867% K -1.69% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -7.81% E -4.41% K -10.14% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerHouston Astros (Local)Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%1.88I 53.19%-1.4%2026-07-05 13:40
Polymarket2.06I 48.54%1.94I 51.55%0.1%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%1.93I 51.81%0.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%1.92I 52.08%0.6%2026-07-05 14:10
Novig2.06I 48.54%1.92I 52.08%0.6%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%1.93I 51.81%0.8%2026-07-05 14:15
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%1.92I 52.08%0.9%2026-07-05 14:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%1.85I 54.05%1.0%2026-07-05 14:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%1.92I 52.08%2.1%2026-07-05 14:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%1.90I 52.63%2.6%2026-07-05 14:10