La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v St. Louis Cardinals

Inizio: 2026-04-18 23:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 5–7 St. Louis Cardinals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 56.37%1.77quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.777%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%56.33%56.27%57.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.40%59.52%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.63%2.29quota equa
EV +0.358%
Vantaggio +0.156%
Kelly +0.276%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.13%43.67%43.73%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.212.202.3050.00%45.35%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 23:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.514%E -0.226%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 22:05
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 16:44
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 22:05
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 22:05
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 22:05
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 23:05
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 12:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 15:30
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.36%E -0.777%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 22:45
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:20
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 12:49
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:55
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:55
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 20:03
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 12:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:40
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.69%E -5.36%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 20:44
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.69%E -5.36%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.88%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 15:28
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.88%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 23:09
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.31%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:09
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.75%E -2.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 23:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:09
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:45
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 23:09
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 23:10
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 23:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.55%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -12.73%E -6.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-04-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-18 15:35
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-18 23:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-18 23:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-18 23:05
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%3.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-04-18 23:10