Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-04-18 23:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 5–7 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 56.37%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.777%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%56.33%56.27%57.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.40%59.52%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 43.63%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.358%
Ventaja +0.156%
Kelly +0.276%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.13%43.67%43.73%45.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.202.3050.00%45.35%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Astros (Local): 56.37%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 43.63%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.358%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.358%E +0.156%K +0.276%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-18 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.514%E -0.226%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 22:05
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 16:44
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.82%E -0.810%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 15:30
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.36%E -0.777%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 22:45
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 12:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:55
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 20:03
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 12:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.74%E -2.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:40
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:30
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.31%E -3.16%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.87%E -3.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.00%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.69%E -5.36%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 20:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.69%E -5.36%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.88%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 15:28
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.88%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 23:09
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.31%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.75%E -2.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 23:10
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.18%E -2.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:45
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 23:09
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.56%E -4.61%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 23:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.55%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -6.43%E -3.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -12.73%E -6.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-04-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-18 15:35
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-18 23:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-18 23:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-18 23:05
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%3.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-04-18 23:10