La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v St. Louis Cardinals

Inizio: 2026-04-19 18:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 5–7 St. Louis Cardinals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 56.49%1.77quota equa
EV +0.555%
Vantaggio +0.312%
Kelly +0.711%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.97%56.48%56.58%58.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.691.691.7862.50%59.32%59.17%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.51%2.30quota equa
EV +0.069%
Vantaggio +0.030%
Kelly +0.053%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.13%43.52%43.42%45.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.71%45.87%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV +0.555%E +0.312%K +0.711%G +0.004%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 18:09
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -0.575%E -0.327%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.85%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 17:10
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:05
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -7.33%E -3.44%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:08
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.24%E -0.544%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 18:09
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:05
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:15
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.069%E +0.030%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 18:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:09
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:55
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:05
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:10
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:00
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 17:10
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:04
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 18:09
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 18:08
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:17
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:10
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 17:10
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 18:10
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:10
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -9.61%E -6.01%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -0.366%E -0.160%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.61%E -6.01%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-19 18:09
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:09
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-19 17:05
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%5.4%2026-04-19 17:15